#conditional probability
2 articles tagged
The Prosecutor's Fallacy: How Courts Get Statistics Wrong
Confusing P(evidence | innocent) with P(innocent | evidence) sends innocent people to prison. The Sally Clark case and how to spot the trap.
Read more →The Monty Hall Problem: Why You Should Always Switch
The Monty Hall problem looks 50/50 and isn't — switching doors wins two-thirds of the time. Here's why, with five proofs and the famous cont...
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