#strategy

2 articles tagged

A Probabilistic Framework for Career Decisions

Use expected value, scenario planning and Kelly-style sizing to evaluate job offers, career pivots and salary negotiations honestly.

strategycareerdecision-makingexpected-value
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Second-Order Thinking: How to See Around Corners

Most decisions are made on first-order effects — but second-order consequences are where the surprises live. A practical framework for seein...

second order thinkingdecision makingmental modelsstrategy
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