Editorial
Reviews.
3 reviews · most recent first
The Signal and the Noise Review (Nate Silver, 2012)
Research-led review of Nate Silver's The Signal and the Noise (2012). Bayesian reasoning, domain-by-domain forecastability, the 2016 misfire.
Fooled by Randomness Review (Nassim Taleb, 2001)
Research-led review of Taleb's Fooled by Randomness (2001) - the foundational Incerto book on survivorship bias and the role of luck in success.
Superforecasting Review (Tetlock & Gardner, 2015)
Research-led review of Tetlock & Gardner's Superforecasting (2015). Good Judgment Project + the 10-commandment framework + an honest read of the limits.