Tools & Resources

Platforms, tools, and books we actually use - selected for evidence-based thinkers, not affiliate commissions.

Collection of decision-making tools - calculator, notebook, expected-value worksheet - laid out on a workspace.

There are thousands of investing platforms, productivity apps, and books competing for your attention. Most "best of" lists rank them by commission rate, not quality.

We take a different approach. Everything on this page meets three criteria:

  1. Evidence of effectiveness - does research or real-world data support using this?
  2. Cost-efficiency - does the fee structure make mathematical sense for the typical user?
  3. Alignment with probabilistic thinking - does the tool encourage rational decision-making, or does it exploit behavioural biases?

If something stops meeting these criteria, we remove it. If we find something better, we add it.

Investing Platforms

Where to put your money to work

The single most important variable in platform selection is fees. A 1% annual fee difference compounds into tens of thousands of pounds over a lifetime of investing. Every platform below charges significantly less than the industry average - that's the minimum bar for inclusion.

Which one suits you depends on your experience level and what you're investing in.

Decision-Making Tools

Sharpen your thinking with practice and data

Reading about probabilistic thinking is a good start. But calibration - the ability to accurately assess how confident you should be - only improves through deliberate practice. These tools help you move from theory to skill.

Spreadsheet Templates

Sometimes the best decision tool is a well-structured spreadsheet. We're building a library of templates for common expected value calculations:

  • Decision matrix - weight criteria, score options, calculate expected outcomes
  • Kelly criterion calculator - optimal position sizing based on your edge and odds
  • Monte Carlo retirement planner - simulate thousands of market scenarios instead of relying on a single "average return"

These will be available as free downloads as we develop them. In the meantime, the concepts behind each are covered in our Fundamentals articles.

Books

The reading list for evidence-based thinkers

Five books that genuinely changed how we think about decisions, risk, and uncertainty. Not a "top 100" list - just the ones we keep coming back to.

Psychology

Thinking, Fast and Slow - Daniel Kahneman

The foundational text on cognitive biases and dual-process theory. Kahneman spent a career studying how humans systematically misjudge probability, and this book distils decades of Nobel Prize-winning research into something genuinely readable. If you read one book from this list, make it this one. It won't make you perfectly rational - but it will make you aware of exactly how you're irrational.

Forecasting

Superforecasting - Philip Tetlock & Dan Gardner

What separates people who are good at predicting the future from those who aren't? Tetlock's research found it's not intelligence or domain expertise - it's a specific set of thinking habits: updating beliefs incrementally, considering base rates, aggregating diverse perspectives. This book is the practical manual for better calibration.

Statistics

The Signal and the Noise - Nate Silver

A tour through fields where prediction matters - elections, weather, earthquakes, baseball, poker - examining why some forecasters succeed and others fail. Silver's central insight: the best predictors are the ones who think probabilistically, express uncertainty honestly, and update their models when new evidence arrives. Sound familiar?

Risk

Fooled by Randomness - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Taleb's most accessible book (and arguably his best). The core argument: humans are terrible at distinguishing skill from luck, and this confusion leads to catastrophically bad decisions in finance, business, and life. Read this before you attribute your portfolio returns to stock-picking genius - or before you dismiss someone's failure as incompetence.

Investing

The Psychology of Money - Morgan Housel

A short, beautifully written book about the emotional and psychological side of financial decisions. Housel's key insight: doing well with money has less to do with intelligence and more to do with behaviour. The chapter on compounding alone is worth the price. Pairs well with the more analytical books above - this one covers the human element they tend to skip.